GTA inventory is shrinking fast. New listings fell harder than sales, and TRREB says that gap could push prices higher before year-end.
TRREB's August 2026 Market Watch landed with a clear story: supply is tightening. New listings entering the GTA's MLS System dropped 14.1% compared to last August, from 14,052 down to 12,075. Active listings also fell 11.3%, leaving 24,482 properties on the market.
Sales dipped too, but only by 2.1%. The 5,057 transactions recorded in August 2026 came in just 111 short of August 2025's 5,168. With listings falling much faster than sales, the supply-demand balance is shifting. TRREB President Daniel Steinfeld flagged the tension directly: if inventory keeps tightening, buyers may face a choice between waiting for economic certainty and buying before prices start climbing again.
The GTA average selling price in August 2026 was $993,410, down 2.7% from $1,021,300 a year earlier. That's a decline of roughly $28,000. The MLS Home Price Index Composite benchmark showed a steeper 4.5% year-over-year drop, though it was nearly flat compared to July 2026 on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Month-over-month, the average price actually edged up from July. So while the year-over-year comparisons still show red, the trajectory has levelled off. TRREB's Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer pointed to positive job-creation data and relatively stable mortgage rates as supporting factors, but noted that trade uncertainty with the United States remains the main drag on buyer confidence.
Zooming into the 416 area, the City of Toronto recorded 1,767 sales in August at an average of $979,684 and a median of $770,000. That gap between average and median tells you something: high-end detached sales in central Toronto pull the average well above where most buyers actually transact.
Condo apartments were the most-traded property type in the city by a wide margin. The 416 saw 885 condo sales at an average of $651,648. That's half of all City of Toronto closings. Detached homes followed with 550 sales at $1,525,749 on average, then semi-detached (159 sales, $1,110,639) and townhouses (165 sales, $797,856).
Detached sales in the 416 actually rose 3.6% year-over-year, and semis were up 1.3%. Townhouses moved in the other direction, with sales falling 11.3%. Condo sales were nearly flat at -0.2%.
| Home Type (416) | August Sales | Avg Price | Sales YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Condo Apartment | 885 | $651,648 | -0.2% |
| Detached | 550 | $1,525,749 | +3.6% |
| Townhouse | 165 | $797,856 | -11.3% |
| Semi-Detached | 159 | $1,110,639 | +1.3% |
Toronto Central led in volume with 882 sales and the highest average at $1,051,186, though its median of $690,000 reflects the heavy condo mix in that part of the city. The sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) sat at 36.2%, the lowest of the three zones.
Toronto West posted 460 sales at $955,789 on average (median $820,000) with a tighter 39.6% SNLR. Toronto East was the most competitive zone: 425 sales, $857,162 average, $825,000 median, and a 41.6% SNLR. The east end continues to attract buyers looking for relative value compared to central and west.
Inventory is tightening across the city. A local pricing conversation could be worth your time.
Get in TouchThrough the first eight months of 2026, the City of Toronto has recorded 15,548 sales at an average of $1,042,120 and a median of $820,000. New listings year-to-date total 41,246.
Across the full GTA, year-to-date sales reached 42,120 at an average of $1,027,505. Detached homes account for 46.5% of all GTA sales, while condos represent 26.2%. The $1M to $1.25M bracket has been the single busiest price range for the year with 6,495 sales, followed by $800K to $900K with 4,976.
Worth noting: Average days on market crept up slightly, with listings taking 35 days to sell (up from 33 last August). Properties that sat without an offer averaged 51 days on market. In a tightening supply environment, well-priced homes in popular segments are still moving; overpriced ones are sitting longer.
With listings tightening and prices stabilizing, the fall market could look very different from the spring. Get a read on your neighbourhood from someone who tracks these numbers monthly.
Contact Jump RealtyWindsor • Kingsville • LaSalle • Harrow • Leamington • Chatham • Toronto
Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB)
Market Watch, August 2026
